Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk Forthcoming in Global Catastrophic Risks, eds
نویسندگان
چکیده
By far the greatest danger of Artificial Intelligence is that people conclude too early that they understand it. Of course this problem is not limited to the field of AI. Jacques Monod wrote: "A curious aspect of the theory of evolution is that everybody thinks he understands it." (Monod 1974.) My father, a physicist, complained about people making up their own theories of physics; he wanted to know why people did not make up their own theories of chemistry. (They do.) Nonetheless the problem seems to be unusually acute in Artificial Intelligence. The field of AI has a reputation for making huge promises and then failing to deliver on them. Most observers conclude that AI is hard; as indeed it is. But the embarrassment does not stem from the difficulty. It is difficult to build a star from hydrogen, but the field of stellar astronomy does not have a terrible reputation for promising to build stars and then failing. The critical inference is not that AI is hard, but that, for some reason, it is very easy for people to think they know far more about Artificial Intelligence than they actually do.
منابع مشابه
Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk
Yudkowsky, Eliezer. 2008. Artificial intelligence as a positive and negative factor in global risk.
متن کاملStatistical Prediction of Probable Seismic Hazard Zonation of Iran Using Self-organized Artificial Intelligence Model
The Iranian plateau has been known as one of the most seismically active regions of the world, and it frequently suffers destructive and catastrophic earthquakes that cause heavy loss of human life and widespread damage. Earthquakes are regularly felt on all sides of the region. Prediction of the occurrence location of the future earthquakes along with determining the probability percentage can...
متن کاملPrioritization of Supply Chain Risks in Automotive Industry
Supply chains are constantly exposed to various risks. An incident or uncertain event, which has positive or negative effect on the objectives of a project, is called a risk. According to this identification, analysis and prioritization of risks may have a significant role in the success of the project. The purpose of risk management is to reduce the risks of non-achievement of these object...
متن کاملPrioritization of Supply Chain Risks in Automotive Industry
Supply chains are constantly exposed to various risks. An incident or uncertain event, which has positive or negative effect on the objectives of a project, is called a risk. According to this identification, analysis and prioritization of risks may have a significant role in the success of the project. The purpose of risk management is to reduce the risks of non-achievement of these object...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2006